
Over the last two months this blog looked at some of the developments in the realm of drone warfare and in some cases the greater use of drone technology. In the following, the key debates from these developments will be highlighted.
First off, as stated in this blog’s introduction, it is important to recognize how we got to this point. Drone technology has been a long way coming, but looking at its history, its arrival seemed far from inevitable for most of the 20th century. Today’s remote warfare could only come about due to the emergence of digital technologies coinciding with a new geopolitical paradigm. Experimentation with UAVs in the pre-digital era was largely aimed at taking pilots out of conventional military flights in combat or reconnaissance scenarios, limited by high costs and low reliability. It was not until the War on Terror was declared, that armed drones for targeted strikes saw substantive use. Not only had digital technology made the promise of remote strikes via drone more feasible, the new era of asymmetrical warfare under US-dominated unipolarity also opened up legal and political spaces of opportunity. Armed drones are as much a result of CIA counter-insurgency strategies as they are weapons of war and this shapes their applications until today. As such, it is important to recognize that the topic of drones is never a purely technological one, but equally a legal, political and ethical one.
This complexity leads to, among other things, military drones playing a split role in public consciousness. While, as the historic overview and the widespread use of drones show, they represent great achievements in the minds of military leaders and intelligence agencies, their use, particularly outside of active warzones, continues to be accompanied by denials and lack of information. Documenting the extent, shape and consequences of the US drone campaigns continues to be immensely difficult task for journalists and NGOs. In fact, the US government has only recently taken steps back on transparency in drone use outside of warzones. A complex web of journalists, official voices and on-the-ground witnesses is required to keep tabs on even basic facts, such as the number and identities of those killed by drone strikes. And it is just this type of information that could inform a debate about the viability, legality and ethics of military drones.
These debates are arguably vitally important now, as drone technology continues to be in constant flux and its uses are likely to increase as more and more countries acquire drone capabilities. Recent developments, such as the announcement of the Agile Condor project, which aims to allow drones to act more autonomously in identifying targets, suggest that the ethical questions we are facing today could have serious implications in the foreseeable future. The use of unmanned aerial vehicles today already represents a significant step towards the automation of war, when compared to conventional military flight in the late 20th century. The tendency toward greater automation and more autonomy for machines seems to be ongoing and while fully autonomous drones are far from a certainty in the foreseeable future, the possibility should likely inform current debates about policy, military protocols and legal regulation.
These debates often seem hampered by only looking at combat drones in the form in which they exist right now. Drone warfare to this day is largely marked by being very unilateral. This has changed slightly with terrorist and insurgent groups starting to use commercially available drones, but the possibility of a conflict with drones on both sides seems barely present in the public debates in drone-operating countries. But there are signs to suggest that governments and militaries are wizening up to this possible reality as seen in the example of the British government recently committing funds to developing counter-drone technologies and Chinese manufacturer DJI implementing tracker technology. While the projects in question are largely focused on countering possible terroristic or criminal applications of drones, they show that debates on drones within Europe and the US possibly shouldn’t be restricted to drones as a tool, but also include the perspective of drones as a risk.
Most pressingly, the above-named current debates about transparency, technological advancement and ethics are far from theoretical. As seen in a recent report by the NGO Drone Wars UK on Israel’s drone program, drones have found common application in Israeli operations in Gaza in part because they are seen as more humane due to increased precision of technologies and lessened risk to human life. Arduously collected reports and data from the ground seem to suggest, however, that the consequences equal if not surpass the gravity of conventional armaments. In fact, the report concludes that the harm on civilian populations caused by drones is substantial and, moreover, the constant threat posed by this technology causes immense psychological suffering to all inhabitants of the affected region.
Drones seem to be here to stay, but how they are used hasn’t been set in stone. As the example of the post-conflict use of drones in Rwanda shows, the technology can also serve purely humanitarian causes in the right environment, though concerns about risks and viability might remain. As it stands, the most pressing debates that emerge from these analyses of the last months are:
- How will the applications and the viability of military drones change if and when the global geopolitical setup changes?
- How can transparency in the application of combat drones be increased to facilitate a viable public debate on the issue?
- How will the current course of technical development, particularly machine autonomy, affect the humanitarian effects of military drones?
- What steps can we take today to avoid facing insurmountable dangers posed by drone technology in the future?
The debate around drone technology is caught between over- and underestimating its significance. To move forward, it is important to observe the many ongoing developments around drones and to not disregard any of the related facettes of the debate – humanitarian, political, legal – in favour of the merely technological.





